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A "comet" is a thematic basket organized around a trigger event — the head is the catalyst (IPO, buildout, policy shift), the tail is the set of stocks expected to be dragged along in its wake.

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Anthropic IPO Watch

Head: ANTHROPIC · Trigger: Anthropic IPO or secondary · Status: pre-event · 15 members

Anthropic is a private frontier AI lab valued at ~$60B (early 2025 round). No clear IPO date, but secondary-market tender offers and a possible IPO in 2026-27 are the trigger events. Public investors get exposure primarily via AMZN ($8B committed + AWS exclusive cloud) and GOOGL (~$3B). Pull-along stocks: chip suppliers (NVDA, AMD, TSM, MU), colocation (DLR, EQIX), power (CEG, VST), enterprise customers (CRM), and Anthropic-class-of-AI competitors and complements.

🔑 Ownership & Cap Table private — best-effort from public reporting

ANTHROPIC is pre-IPO. Below: direct equity holders, plus the public-traded funds that give retail investors exposure.

Direct Holders
HolderTypeStake %~$B
Dario + Daniela Amodei + founding team
Founders + early team retain meaningful control via common + super-voting.
founder 18.00% $10.80
Employees (option pool)
Vested + unvested option pool.
employee pool 15.00% $9.00
Amazon (AWS)
$4B initial + $4B follow-on; AWS exclusive cloud + Trainium/Inferentia chips.
strategic 20.00% $12.00
Alphabet / Google
~$2B initial + reported follow-ons; GCP cloud customer + investor.
strategic 8.00% $4.80
Spark Capital
Led 2023 Series C ($450M).
vc 5.00% $3.00
Lightspeed Venture Partners
Multi-round participant.
vc 4.00% $2.40
General Catalyst vc 3.00% $1.80
Menlo Ventures
Led 2024 $750M round.
vc 3.00% $1.80
Bessemer / Sound Ventures / Wellington / Fidelity
Combined later-stage syndicate.
vc 8.00% $4.80
Salesforce + Zoom + ServiceNow
Strategic enterprise investors with product integrations.
strategic 4.00% $2.40
Other VCs + secondary holders
Tiger Global, FTX bankruptcy estate dispositions, secondary buyers, etc.
vc 12.00% $7.20
Public-Fund Proxies (how retail gets exposure)
VehicleTickerAlloc %
Amazon (public proxy)
Public buy AMZN to track Anthropic upside via AWS cloud + equity. Diluted by AMZN's other businesses.
AMZN
Alphabet (public proxy)
Public buy GOOGL — Anthropic stake is small share of total Alphabet, but real.
GOOGL
Salesforce (public proxy)
Strategic stake plus Einstein integration narrative.
CRM

Head1

Sym Company Wake Beta Price Ratio 1D % 7D % YTD % Rationale
ANTHROPIC Anthropic PBC 1 1.00 Private head — pre-IPO; no quote.

Pre-IPO Proxies3

Sym Company Wake Beta Price Ratio 1D % 7D % YTD % Rationale
AMZN Amazon.com 1 0.85 $241.55 1.00× ▼ -0.85% ▼ -0.46% ▲ 6.64% Largest external investor ($8B total committed); Anthropic AWS-exclusive for training compute.
CRM Salesforce Inc. 2 0.95 $163.65 0.68× ▼ -1.76% ▼ -1.48% ▼ -35.47% Strategic investor + Einstein/Slack AI customer.
GOOGL Alphabet Inc. 2 0.80 $353.14 1.46× ▼ -2.43% ▼ -1.88% ▲ 12.05% Second-largest external investor (~$3B); also competes with Gemini.

Core Peers4

Sym Company Wake Beta Price Ratio 1D % 7D % YTD % Rationale
NVDA NVIDIA Corp. 2 1.30 $201.41 0.83× ▼ -1.33% ▲ 3.38% ▲ 6.65% Primary chip supplier for Anthropic training clusters.
AMD Advanced Micro Devices 3 1.20 $552.57 2.29× ▲ 6.80% ▲ 6.71% ▲ 147.27% Second-source AI accelerator option.
MU Micron Technology 3 1.25 $1,019.85 4.22× ▲ 7.49% ▲ 4.54% ▲ 223.33% HBM3E memory for Anthropic chips.
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) 3 1.00 $444.45 1.84× ▲ 1.71% ▲ 2.37% ▲ 39.06% Foundry choke point.

Picks & Shovels4

Sym Company Wake Beta Price Ratio 1D % 7D % YTD % Rationale
AVGO Broadcom Inc. 3 1.05 $401.41 1.66× ▲ 3.27% ▲ 11.36% ▲ 15.47% Custom AI silicon + networking.
DLR Digital Realty Trust 3 0.90 $179.82 0.74× ▲ 2.00% ▲ 3.76% ▲ 15.99% Frontier-lab DC capacity provider.
EQIX Equinix Inc. 3 0.90 $1,037.40 4.29× ▲ 2.11% ▲ 3.53% ▲ 35.77% Interconnect for multi-region lab inference.
VRT Vertiv Holdings 4 1.25 $329.30 1.36× ▲ 3.62% ▲ 9.57% ▲ 87.52% Liquid cooling for high-density training racks.

Adjacent Plays2

Sym Company Wake Beta Price Ratio 1D % 7D % YTD % Rationale
CEG Constellation Energy 4 1.10 $247.93 1.03× ▲ 1.39% ▲ 3.63% ▼ -32.31% Nuclear baseload — Anthropic-class training is power-hungry.
VST Vistra Corp. 4 1.15 $158.53 0.66× ▲ 2.40% ▲ 4.95% ▼ -4.06% Texas + nuclear power for hyperscale labs.

Hedges1

Sym Company Wake Beta Price Ratio 1D % 7D % YTD % Rationale
MSFT Microsoft Corp. 5 0.70 $380.18 1.57× ▼ -0.82% ▼ -2.64% ▼ -19.61% Hedges against OpenAI (Microsoft's lab) — if Anthropic gains share at OpenAI expense, MSFT marginally drags.

Ratio column: member price ÷ AMZN $241.55 (head price; falls back to closest proxy when head is pre-IPO).

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